Simulating the effects of past changes in climate, atmospheric composition, and fire disturbance on soil carbon in Canada’s forests and wetlands

[1] Using the Integrated Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Cycle model (InTEC), six simulations with different input scenarios of climate, CO2, and nitrogen (N) deposition are conducted to study the changes of soil carbon (C) content in Canada’s forests and wetlands during 1901–2000. Simulated total C stored in Canada’s forest and wetland soils is 164.5 Pg C and accounts for about 7% of the global total of 2400 Pg C to the depth of 2 m, implying the significance of Canada’s forest and wetland soils in the global terrestrial C cycle. Soils of Canadian forests and wetlands sequestrated 3.9 Pg C (2.6 Pg C in forests and 1.3 Pg C in wetlands) during 1901–2000 because of the integrated effects of climate, CO2 fertilization, N deposition, and forest age factors. The changes of soil C content during 1901–2000 ranged spatially from 2 kgCm 2 to 4 kgCm , depending on fire disturbance history, climate change pattern, and N deposition rates. Soil C increased by 2 to 4 kg C m 2 in Eastern Hudson Plains, Eastern Middle Boreal Shield, Southern Boreal Shield, and Atlantic Maritime and decreased by more than 1 kg C m 2 in Southern Boreal Plains. Simulations shows that climate influences growing conditions, growing season length, net N mineralization, and N fixation and therefore was the biggest driver of the increase in total soil C content during 1901–2000, followed by CO2 fertilization and N deposition. The climate-induced increase of soil C occurred mainly in the cool and wet period from the middle 1940s to the middle 1970s. Overall, an increase of 1 C in mean annual temperature induced heterotrophic respiration to increase by 62 TgC a . In contrast to the century-scale trend from 1901 to 2000, during the last two decades (1981–2000), CO2 fertilization was the biggest driver of the increase in soil C, while climate change alone caused soil C to decrease.